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Forewarned is forearmed: Expect El Niño phenomenon mid-2014

Prepare yourselves for the coming El Niño phenomenon, which will materialize in mid-2014..

In its recent bulletin, US weather forecaster Climatic Prediction Center (CPC), said that neutral El Niño conditions “will likely continue through the spring, but there was about a 50 percent chance of the weather pattern developing during the summer or autumn,” to quote a Reuters dispatch.

“We are ripe for another long drought,” said Roy C. Alimoane, the director of the Davao-based Mindanao Baptist Rural Life Center (MBRLC). “The last time an El Niño hit the country was in 2009 but it was not that really that strong.”

“El Niño events occur on average every four or five years, but irregularly – they can be two years apart, or as many as 10 years,” stated an official of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

1998 El Niño

Alimoane recalled the severe bout of El Niño that occurred in 1998. “We are hoping that such calamity won’t happen again,” he pointed out.

“The fury of El Niño began in the third quarter of 1997,” noted a briefing paper published by the Philippine Council for Agriculture, Forestry, Aquaculture and Natural Resources Research and Development (PCAARRD). “El Niño weather condition struck mostly Southern and Central Philippines.”

Among the provinces badly-hit by the 1998 El Niño were South Cotabato, North Cotabato, Davao del Sur, Sultan Kudarat, Maguindanao, Sarangani, Davao del Norte, Davao Oriental, Davao City, Cotabato City, and General Santos City.

 The 1998 El Niño affected almost 74,000 hectares of agricultural lands in 18 provinces. Based on a report released by the Department of Agriculture, the country’s rice and corn production during the first half of 1998 went down by 27% and 44%, respectively.

El Niño did not spare the Visayas region. In fact, Negros Occidental was declared under a state of calamity because of prolonged drought that affected 930,435 people in 267 barangays. In Mindanao, more than 74 people died and about 497,238 agricultural families, including tribal communities, in Northern Mindanao starved because of the drought caused by El Niño.

 The El Niño phenomenon also dried up land and sources of potable water in General Santos City and adjacent areas. Davao del Sur also experienced shortage in potable water. Forest fires were reported to affect portions of Mount Apo, Mount Matutum, and forested areas in Maragusan.

Alimoane recalled the severe bout of El Niño that occurred in 1998. “We are hoping that such calamity won’t happen again,” he pointed out.

“The fury of El Niño began in the third quarter of 1997,” noted a briefing paper published by the Philippine Council for Agriculture, Forestry, Aquaculture and Natural Resources Research and Development (PCAARRD). “El Niño weather condition struck mostly Southern and Central Philippines.”

Among the provinces badly-hit by the 1998 El Niño were South Cotabato, North Cotabato, Davao del Sur, Sultan Kudarat, Maguindanao, Sarangani, Davao del Norte, Davao Oriental, Davao City, Cotabato City, and General Santos City.

The 1998 El Niño affected almost 74,000 hectares of agricultural lands in 18 provinces. Based on a report released by the Department of Agriculture, the country’s rice and corn production during the first half of 1998 went down by 27% and 44%, respectively.

El Niño did not spare the Visayas region. In fact, Negros Occidental was declared under a state of calamity because of prolonged drought that affected 930,435 people in 267 barangays. In Mindanao, more than 74 people died and about 497,238 agricultural families, including tribal communities, in Northern Mindanao starved because of the drought caused by El Niño.

The El Niño phenomenon also dried up land and sources of potable water in General Santos City and adjacent areas. Davao del Sur also experienced shortage in potable water. Forest fires were reported to affect portions of Mount Apo, Mount Matutum, and forested areas in Maragusan.

Source:

Full text archive from GMA News

Forewarned is forearmed: Expect El Niño phenomenon mid-2014

http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/352745/scitech/science/forewarned-is-forearmed-expect-el-nino-phenomenon-mid-2014

 Text and Photos by HENRYLITO D. TACIO March 15, 2014 6:38pm